I've Waited an Entire Summer
Predictions Methodology. The English Premier League projections are based on our proprietary algorithm which we use to project out soccer matches. The EPL is a twenty team league which plays 38 games through out the season. Currently, the top four teams receive a draw to the Champions League and the fifth place team receives a draw to Europa.
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1. (110 pts) After how many minutes of play will the first goal of the Premier League be scored (Only the Saturday 3pm Kick Offs are counted)?
2. (110 pts) Pick one team to have a lead at half time on the opening weekend (Sat, Sun, Mon) of the season?
3. (110 pts) Pick one match from this seasons opening day games in which both sides will score at least one goal?
The Big 6
4. (0 pts) Pick one of the league's big 6 to fail to win in their opening game?
5. (110 pts) Pick one of the new arrivals at the big 6 clubs to make an immediate impact by scoring, getting an assist or keeping a clean sheet (defenders must play 60 mins to qualify)?
6. (110 pts) Pick one of these title challengers to win their first match of the season?
Man City vs. Arsenal
7. (110 pts) How many goals will Arsenal (away vs. Newcastle) and Man City (home vs. Swansea) each score in their games on the opening day?
Premier League New Boys
8. (110 pts) Pick one of the newly promoted teams to get at least a draw on the opening weekend?
Bag a Big One
9. (110 pts) What will be the biggest winning margin in any game on the opening day of the season?
A League of Late Goals
10. (120 pts) How many late goals (76th minute or later) will be scored in the opening day fixtures?
1. (110 pts)After how many minutes of play will the first goal of the Premier League be scored (Only the Saturday 3pm Kick Offs are counted)?
The first ever goal scored in the Premier League was way back in 1992 when Brian Dean's 5th minute strike put Man United a goal behind on their way to losing their first game in the newly formed league. But looking to more recent times it took a longish 15 minutes for Stewart Downing to smash in the first goal of last season against West Ham, and the season before that we had to wait an entire summer and an agonising 27 minutes and 15 seconds for Stephen Hunt of Hull City to get his name on the score sheet against Chelsea.
But it's not all doom and gloom, in the 08/09 season Samir Nasri got the season off to a much quicker start bagging Arsenal's only goal in a 1-0 win over West Borm at Highbury after just 4 minutes. Regular players will know that when we look at the first goal of any week it could be as little as 2 minutes or as much as 30 minutes before that first Premier League net bulges.Back to Game
2. (110 pts)Pick one team to have a lead at half time on the opening weekend (Sat, Sun, Mon) of the season?
It might only be one game but getting your season off to a flying start could be priceless come the final beckoning and it can help establish a valuable front foot position for any side taking a lead back to the dressing room at half time.
The top 4 from the half time tables of last season are Man United, Man City, Arsenal and surprisingly Blackburn who went in with a lead in 14 of their 38 Premier League matches and yet some how still managed to only come away 11 wins over all. But you might also want to take a look at the newly promoted teams, the adrenalin charge provided by being in the big league and the fantasy of realising a dream can bring extraordinary, turbo charged performances from ordinary players as shown by Blackpool who went in 3-0 up after their first ever 45 minutes of Premier League football on the opening day last season, and they were playing away!
But on the reverse of that West Brom went in 2-0 at half time at Stamford Bridge and went on to lose the game 6-0 with the other newly promoted side Newcastle suffering a similar fate having gone in 2 down after 45 horrid minutes at Old Trafford.Back to Game
3. (110 pts)Pick one match from this seasons opening day games in which both sides will score at least one goal?
After a summer spent clawing at and pretending to care about the tennis and cricket shaped ashes of entertainment which followed the fiery end to a thrilling Premier League season, the real sport of kings is back and us football fans will be demanding entertainment in the guise of lots of goals.
On the opening weekend of last season only 3 out the 10 games played produced goals from both sides. This was a very low number considering the fact that over the course of the season double that number of matches ended with both sides having scored at last one goal. This would suggest that whilst some teams start the season with the same intent as they might end it, quite a few have a tendency to start very cagey or worse still with their minds still on their summer holidays.Back to Game
4. (0 pts)Pick one of the league's big 6 to fail to win in their opening game?
The demise of the 'big 4' was set in motion by Spurs' 4th place finish in the season before last, and finally laid to rest when Man City gatecrashed the party at the expense of Liverpool and Spurs last season. The devastation with which finishing 5th was received by Redknapp, and the renewed cut and thrust of Liverpool under Dalglish would indicate that the seasonal objective for no fewer than 6 Premier League clubs is now qualification for the Champions League. But if last season's barrage of shock results, giant killings and under dog days are anything to go by there may be even more than 6 sides competing for the top honours this season and the fun of the the big sides failing to win the best prizes at the fair could will be in fully swing from the first day.Back to Game
5. (110 pts)Pick one of the new arrivals at the big 6 clubs to make an immediate impact by scoring, getting an assist or keeping a clean sheet (defenders must play 60 mins to qualify)?
The big 6 have all been busy this summer strengthening their squads and spending mega millions. After a miserly summer last time out Sir Alex has renewed his vigour for Premier league glory and spent in excess of £50m on new talent.
Ashley Young and Phil Jones have arrived for around £16m a piece, whilst 20 year old Spanish Goalie cost Sir Alex nearly £20m and Nasri could yet be on the way.
Arsenal haven't added a huge amount considering what they may lose but it does at least look like Gervinho will be arriving shortly, and even though 15 goals in 35 French League games may not be a bad stat you have to wonder where he'll fit in when Van Persie is fit. The fact that he also got 10 assists does suggest he is capable of filling in out wide.
There is bound to be some movement at Chelsea with Tevez, Modirc and a multitude of others as potential transfer targets whilst Liverpool have added Henderson, a questionable buy at £20m (but then again Carrol was questionable at £30m) and finally got their man in Charlie Adam for £7m but again you have to wonder how regularly either player will feature. Finally to Man City who's most notable signings so far are Gael Clichy and Sergio Aguero.Back to Game
6. (110 pts)Pick one of these title challengers to win their first match of the season?
If anything the 2010/2011 was the season where having the 12th man at home really made all the difference. No away match was a dead certain 3 points for any traveling team regardless of who wast at either end of the pitch.
In fact the highest number of away wins by any side was 8 out of 19 and league champions Man United managed just 5, so even with your eyes closed a punt against any away side gives you a better than a 50/50 chance of being right.
The opening day fixture list this time around provides ample opportunity for an early upset or two. Man United travel away to The Hawthornes, which became as difficult a place to go to as you might expect from your classic Roy Hodgson side. West Brom lost only 2 of their final 12 games of the season under Hodgson and even though Arsenal, Chelsea, Liverpool, Everton and Villa were the visitors to the Hawthornes only one of them managed to walk away with all 3 points. If the Baggies end of season form is anything to go by, United will have a tough task on their hands.
Chelsea meanwhile travel to another team with a long standing reputation for being as good as anyone in the league when playing at home. Tony Pulis' Stoke lost only 5 games at home all of last season and with Chelsea winning only around one third of their away matches a win will be a bigger ask for the Blues than it might first seem but also a minimum requirement of meeting expectations for the boss who reportedly cost Chelsea £13m in what was effectively a transfer fee.
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Arsenal make up the trip of title challengers who start their campaigns away from home as visitors to Pardew's Newcastle United. St. James' Park was the scene of one of the games of the season last term with the Gunners racing in to an incredible 4-0 lead inside of 26 minutes, but they hadn't accounted for the brazen toughness of the Geordie 12th man as the second half produced one of the finest come backs this league has ever seen with Newcastle fighting their way back to 4-4 inside of a crazy 19 second half minutes to prevent Arsenal from becoming only the 6th side to win in Newcastle.Back to Game
7. (110 pts)How many goals will Arsenal (away vs. Newcastle) and Man City (home vs. Swansea) each score in their games on the opening day?
The only battle bigger than the one Liverpool's alter egos had between each other last season, was the one in which Man City emerged victorious in the final throwes of the season by bringing home their first trophy for 35 years, and relegating Arsenal to 4th.
Whilst Wenger's men are no strangers to 4th position having finished there 4 times in the last 6 seasons, what makes this particular 4th place notable is that it is the first time a team outside of the traditional big 4 of Man United, Liverpool and Chelsea has finished ahead of the Gunners in 15 years, and Arsenal fans may be fearful that this may be an indicator of an immanent fall from grace, especially as at the time of writing Arsenal were wall on their way to losing 5 established Premier League players and replacing them with either nothing or fancy sounding names that if your honest with yourself you'll admit you've never heard of, so their fears could yet becoming a self fulfilling nightmare for one the leagues usually highest scoring sides.
Man City on the other hand seem to be a side on their way up, and with wage budgets and transfer budgets expectation is also rising at Eastland's and a title challenge will no doubt be on the agenda. The only cause for concern at City is that despite having more £20m strikers than the gunners could ever dream of, out of the whole lot only Tevez really produced the goods, and without him City looked dangerously flat at the front, and produced even fewer goals than normal.
As the lowest scorers in the top 5 of the league last season you'd have to conclude their season was built on 2 main factors, firstly Carlos Teves, and second their rock solid defence so an opening day test against newly promoted Swansea could produce an opportunity for City to revert from type and callously flex their multitude of attacking options on an unsuspecting side.Back to Game
8. (110 pts)Pick one of the newly promoted teams to get at least a draw on the opening weekend?
2 of the 3 teams that were promoted from the Championship survived their first season in the Premier League in 10/11 and managed to achieve respectable mid-table positions to boot.
Even though both Newcastle and West Brom inexplicably sacked their managers half way through the season in hindsight us mere mortals of armchair football who were shocked by the harsh ejections of Chris Hughton and Roberto di Matteo, and chose those moments to climb back on board our pedestals to cry foul of knee jerk reactions and impatient boards, can look back and excuse our objections to the magic of football knowledge beyond our understanding, after all these decisions turned out to be very good ones.
Even Blackpool who stuck with their enigmatic boss were in the running right up until the last day so the newly promoted trio of QPR, Norwich and Swansea would be forgiven for harbouring hopes of anything more than a fleeting foray in the top flight.
QPR haven't been in the Premier league for 15 years, but they were promoted as Champions, and lost twice at Loftus Road all season, conceding a measly 14 goals in 23 fixtures at home so they'll be pleased to start their campaign in London, against Bolton.
The other two promoted sides travel away, whilst Swansea might have little hope at the newly named Etihad Stadium (Man City), Norwich will fancy their chances against likely relegation bed fellows Wigan in what could already be a relegation 6 pointer!Back to Game
9. (110 pts)What will be the biggest winning margin in any game on the opening day of the season?
On the opening day of last season Chelsea treated us to a 6-0 win at Stamford Bridge whilst there was also a 4-0, and two 3-0 victories. The Season before that one Arsenal were 6-1 winners at Everton, whilst 08/09 produced a 4-0 opening weekend win for Chelsea but 07/08 only involved 1 game which was won by more than a single goal.
The recent trend has been for one or two big wins on the opening day but it's not unusual for all these games to be close especially when you consider the fact that many of the big scoring sides are playing away. Looking at the fixtures Man City vs, Swansea produces perhaps the best chance of mauling even if Man City were a little goal shy last season.Back to Game
10. (120 pts)How many late goals (76th minute or later) will be scored in the opening day fixtures?
The Premier League has always been a league of late goals. Last season nearly 1 out of every 5 goals scored came in the last 15 minutes of matches and on average every weekly set of 10 fixtures produce 7 goals in the last 15 minutes.
The volume of late goals tends to increase dramatically toward the end of the season as desperate and tired teams make more mistakes and fight harder in each diminishing opportunity to get the points required for their objectives so whilst there are normally plenty of late goals, the opening day should produce less than the average number of 7. Though with a lot of the big boys playing away, one or two could find themselves in need of late goals and this could drive the number up.Back to Game
Lawro’s Premier League score predictions are a weekly feature on Football Focus and the BBC Sport website. Every week we bring you all the latest predictions from Mark Lawrenson, the UK’s most renowned pundit, and we will compare them with our correct score tips.
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LAWRO'S PREDICTIONS FOR THIS WEEK
The BBC pundit and former Liverpool defender puts his neck on the line every week by guessing the scores for the upcoming games. Find below this week's predictions by Mark Lawrenson. Over the years he’s established a real skill in making correct predictions and each week goes head-to-head with a special guest predictor, which down the years has included musicians, TV stars and even the Hollywood elite.
For us though, it’s all about Lawro and below you’ll find this week's predictions by the legend..
Lawro's Premier League Predictions
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LAWRO'S PREDICTIONS vs BETANDSKILL
We go up against Lawro every week, offering our own unique insight into the correct score markets. We consider all manner of factors from form to injuries and suspensions, context of the game and more before making our own football predictions.
Last year, BetAndSkill outscored Lawro (3010 points for us, 2840 for Mark). Who will win this year?
It’s always a close one between our experts and Lawro, with the full leaderboard below:
Mark Lawrenson’s predictions aren’t the only ones we go up against though. If you’re looking for more pundit predictions, head to our Charlie Nicholas' Predictions or Robbie Savage's predictions, for even more expert analysis and insight.
Who is Lawro?
Lawro is the nickname of Mark Lawrenson, a Liverpool legend and BBC pundit. Every Thursday/Friday, the former Reds defender gives his views on the weekend’s games to preview the latest action. He has established himself as one of the most appreciated pundits in the United Kingdom, both on BBC television and radio, often finding himself sitting alongside his former defensive partner, Alan Hansen He appears regularly on Football Focus and Match of the Day and since the departure from the BBC of Trevor Brooking, he has assumed the main co-commentator on major national and international matches covered by the television network.
Before life as a pundit Lawro enjoyed a long and illustrious career making over 350 appearances for Liverpool, winning five league titles and the European Cup in the 1980s.
A Republic of Ireland international, he started his career at Preston before moving to Brighton. It was here he really began to make a name for himself and after four seasons at the club, Bob Paisley paid a club record £900,000 for the defender, bringing him to Merseyside.
Mark Lawrenson’s Playing Career:
- 1974-77: Preston North End
- 1977-81: Brighton & Hove Albion
- 1981-88: Liverpool
- 1988-89: Barnet
- 1989: Tampa Bay Rowdies
- 1977-87: Republic of Ireland (39 caps)
Lawro's Predictions Results
Lawro usually makes predictions for all 380 top-flight matches every season, against a variety of guests. Predicting football results from one week to the next is an almost impossible task, or at least it is most seasons. Last year, Lawro achieved a remarkable record with his Premier League predictions: 42 Correct Scores, 162 Correct Results, 176 Wrong Predictions.
Find below Mark Lawrenson's Predictions results over the past few years
- 2018/19: 42 Correct Scores, 162 Correct Results, 176 Wrong Predictions
- 2017/18: 48 Correct Scores, 146 Correct Results, 186 Wrong Predictions
- 2016/17: 47 Correct Scores, 161 Correct Results, 172 Wrong Predictions
- 2015/16: 39 Correct Scores, 140 Correct Results, 201 Wrong Predictions
- 2014/15: 37 Correct Scores, 155 Correct Results, 188 Wrong Predictions
Lawro's Predictions Scoring System
Lawro predicts the Premier League games every week for BBC, up against a celebrity. A correct result (picking a win, draw or defeat) is worth 10 points. The exact score earns 40 points.
- Exact correct score: 40 points
- Correct result: 10 points
- Wrong result: 0 points
Where Can I Bet on Lawro’s Predictions?
Ultimately all Mark Lawrenson is doing each week is making a prediction on the correct score of a Premier League game. The correct score market is widely available with most online bookmakers, meaning you can place a bet on Lawro’s predictions with any one of them.
Brands such as Bet365, William Hill and Ladbrokes always have the latest Premier League odds available to back, as well as a great deal more football markets too. In fact, you’d struggle to find a bookmaker not offering the correct score market on Premier League fixtures.
For all our favourite bookies to sign up to, head to our Best Betting Sites page where you’ll find full details on them and instructions on how to register.
Use A Free Bet On Lawro's Predictions
Of course, it’s always worthwhile combining a pundit prediction with a free bet. Even the experts can get it wrong so play risk free with one of the many free bets on offer to customers.
Most bookmakers offer new customers something to play with, in some cases as much as £100 in free bets!
Do be aware though, any bookmaker offering exclusive promotions such as enhanced odds with pundit predictions, will unlikely allow you to place a free bet on these. It’s always useful to read the terms and conditions before placing your bets.
For all the best free bets and betting offers available, head to our Promo & Bonus page and combine pundit’s predictions with a free bet today! Plus, several bookmakers are offering free bets no deposit offers to all new customers!
More Pundits' Predictions
This season we have decided to collect, compare and challenge all the top pundits predictions in Britain. From Paul Merson to Michael Owen, from Charlie Nicholas to Robbie Savage.. we got you covered.
BetVictor's Brand Ambassador Michael Owen is a former Liverpool, Man United, Real Madrid and England striker. He played for England national team in three editions of the World Cup. Owen gives his thoughts on all this week’s Premier League matches and we are challenging him.
A Scottish former professional footballer, Charlie is now a very appreciated football pundit at Sky Sports. Every week we bring you all the latest predictions from Charlie Nicholas, and we will compare them with our correct score tips.
A football legend, he is now one of Britain’s top pundits. Savage now presents a phone-in show on BBC 5Live and is a pundit on the BBC and BT Sport. Every week we bring football fans his predictions and compare them with our correct score tips.
Lawro's Predictions FAQ
Who gives the best football pundits predictions?
Lawro's predictions and Charlie Nicholas' predictions are the most appreciated in terms of Premier League tips. Anyway, our correct score tips have regularly outscored all the pundits we are following this season.
Which leagues does Lawro offer predictions on?
Mark Lawrenson is focusing on the Premier League predictions only. However, during international breaks, major tournaments and domestic cups such as the FA Cup, you might also find a number of predictions on other competitions.
What markets does Lawro offer predictions on?
Epl Predictions This Weekend
Mark Lawrenson will generally only offer predictions on the correct scores. Implicitly, you can deduce other predictions such as Match Winner, Over/Under, To Win To Nil and Both Teams To Score Tips.
Can I use a free bet to back Lawro's predictions
Of course, it’s always worthwhile combining pundits' prediction with welcome free bets. We provide you with the best betting offers across our site, including no deposit free bets. So, you should not miss the chance to combine pundit’s predictions with a betting bonus.
Italy Serie A Predictions
Is it worth it to back Lawro's football tips?
Football pundits can be very hit and miss during the season, expecially when they predict correct scores (traditionally the most difficult betting markets to predict). We strongly believe our daily football tips have a better ROI compared to pundits predictions.